Crest

Fergus(s)on DNA Project

Samuel FERGUSON and Mary JAMESON

Times to Most Recent Common Ancestor

dna

TMRCA
The numbers in red show how many generations removed each participant is from the family's most recent common ancestor. The numbers in blue are the resultant TMRCA.

TMRCA

The tables below compare the actual pairwise TMRCA as deduced from the above diagram with theoretical computations of the 95% TMRCA.
Time to Most Recent Common Ancestor (Generations)
Actual TMRCA D
a
v
i
d
M
a
r
s
h
a
l
l
G
e
r
a
l
d
G
a
r
y
M
i
c
h
a
e
l
David_Ferguson 37 6 5 7 7
Marshall_Lee_Ferguson 6 25 6 7 7
Gerald_Shannon_Ferguson 5 6 67 7 7
Gary_Jack_Ferguson 7 7 7 67 7
ANC_Michael_Allen_Ferguson 7 7 7 7 43
95% TMRCA
David_Ferguson 37 35 18 18 36
Marshall_Lee_Ferguson 35 25 22 22 22
Gerald_Shannon_Ferguson 18 22 67 12 26
Gary_Jack_Ferguson 18 22 12 67 16
ANC_Michael_Allen_Ferguson 36 22 26 16 43
0-9 Generations 10-19 Generations 20-29 Generations 30-39 Generations
- Infinite allele mutation model is used
- Average mutation rate varies: 0.0028 to 0.0049
- Mutation rates from Chandler, Little & Hutchison
- Values on the diagonal indicate number of markers tested
- Probability is 95% that the TMRCA is no longer than indicated


In these cases all the actual TMRCA are less than the 95% numbers as they probably should be. It is concluded the resultant set of pairwise actual TMRCA defined by the genealogical structure is consistent with the corresponding set of pairwise TMRCA computed from the DNA mismatches.


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